sheahan

Potential Trade Partners for the Red Wings #1

The Red Wings’ braintrust is currently evaluating the roster and planning their offseason. Ken Holland and company could say that they have a team ready to compete for a Cup next year and injuries derailed their chances this year. They could also look and the roster and decide that there are a few pieces to the puzzle missing.

Personally, I think Detroit needs more size. It was apparent against Boston that the Red Wings could not use their speed game to win the series against the Bruins or match their physicality. They also need some help on the back end and penalty kill. Let’s take a look at some teams the Red Wings could swing a deal with this offseason and some proposals that could work. Note: Detroit’s best chance at acquiring talent is by trading young talent. It’s possible that they trade players from the current roster, but for this article, we will stick with trading prospects.

St. Louis

David Backes

Photo courtesy of Yahoo Sports

WHAT? Yeah, they are not in our division this year and will not be any time in the future. The Blues had yet another disappointing first round exit this playoff season and could be looking to make some trades. Patrick Berglund, Vladimir Sobotka, and Jaden Schwartz are all scheduled to become Restricted Free Agents this summer and will definitely receive raises. In addition, both Ryan Miller and Brian Elliott will become Unrestricted Free Agents. They may want to move pieces for a new look or clear some salary cap space.

It’s hard to tell who St. Louis could move, if anyone. Philadelphia thought they could win with Mike Richards, James van Riemsdyk, and Jeff Carter, but they were all moved (for one reason or another) and brought back Wayne Simmonds, Brayden Schenn, Luke Schenn, and Jakub Voracek in return. Like we saw with the David Legwand trade, teams need to give up good players to bring in good players.

Proposal: Roman Polak and David Backes traded to Detroit for Alexey MarchenkoTomas Jurco, Riley Sheahan, and a conditional draft pick (second round pick that turns into a first round pick if Detroit makes the Eastern Conference Finals).

Buffalo

Christian Ehrhoff

Photo courtesy of Timothy T. Ludwig US Presswire

Could the firesale continue? Christian Ehrhoff, Chris Stewart, and Drew Stafford could be moved. Stafford presents an interesting opportunity for the Red Wings. The big winger has one year left on his contract at $4 million. Stafford’s mediocre play is questionable, but I’m positive a change of scenery and great linemates could help him regain his game. Ehrhoff plays in all situations and would certainly be an upgrade for the Red Wings’ defense.

Proposal: Ehrhoff, Stafford, and a salty Mikhail Grigorenko traded to Detroit for Ryan Sproul, Tomas Jurco, Tyler Bertuzzi, and a first round pick.

Edmonton

Nail Yakupov

Photo courtesy of Shaughn Butts

Could the Oilers move a big player for a few role players? Sam Gagner has been rumored to be on the move since 2011, but would not necessarily fit with the Red Wings. Nail Yakupov could thrive with Pavel Datsyuk as his center, but it is highly unlikely that Edmonton trades him. Nonetheless, the Oilers may make some moves after seeing their core group of players achieve nothing other than scoring goals in their time in Edmonton.

Proposal: Yakupov traded to Detroit for Alexey Marchenko and a second round pick.

Other targets: Evander Kane, Vancouver defensemen, Ryane Clowe, Michael Ryder, and/or Brian Campbell.

Can’t Forget About Detroit’s Restricted Free Agents!

Danny DeKeyser

Photo courtesy of Steven King/Icon SMI

Detroit has three players on their NHL roster that are slated for restricted free agency, meaning that if any team offers a restricted free agent (RFA) a contract, the Red Wings can match it or let the player walk and receive compensation. The three players up for a new contract are Danny DeKeyser, Riley Sheahan, and Tomas Tatar.

Of the three RFAs, I can only see Danny DeKeyser signing a long-term contract with the Red Wings at this point in time. I could see Detroit and DeKeyser agreeing to a five-year, $15 million contract this summer to lock him up for awhile. He would make more than Jakub Kindl’s $2.4 million per season on the open market and the Red Wings will pay him accordingly. Additionally, they could come to terms on a two-year, $4 million contract and work on another long-term deal when that contract expires and DeKeyser is eligible to become an unrestricted free agent. Expect DeKeyser to be taken care of this summer and contribute in the top four on defense next year with a new partner.

Riley Sheahan had a breakout year this year just in time for a new contract. He solidified the number two center job with Pavel Datsyuk, Henrik Zetterberg, Darren Helm, and Stephen Weiss out with injuries at varying times this season. It is likely Sheahan (and Tatar) will sign a two-year deal this summer with the Red Wings. If I had to guess, he would receive around $1.5 million on average for those two seasons. It would be nice if Ken Holland and the Red Wings’ brass could keep Sheahan’s average cap hit closer to $1.2 million to spend the other cash elsewhere.

Finally, Tomas Tatar will also probably sign a two-year deal this offseason. His cap number will be higher than Sheahan’s and closer to $2 million per year. If the Red Wings are smart, they will sign him to a long-term extension after this next season. Tatar could potentially explode and command more than $4 million per season if he puts up 30+ goals and 60+ points. He could certainly do that if a big winger is added to his line in order to give him more time and space to shoot.

These three players will combine for approximately $5-6 million in cap space of the projected $20 million in cap room this offseason. It would be wise for the Red Wings to keep these salary low with Brendan Smith, Gustav Nyquist, Joakim Andersson, and Tomas Jurco all slated to become RFAs next season.

This will be a fun offseason.

Summer Plans for Pending Red Wings Free Agents

Kyle Quincey

Photo courtesy of Rick Osentoski/USA TODAY Sports

Free Agency should be fun for the Red Wings this summer. They have cap room to spend and issues to address. The free agent signing period, or #QuinceyWatch2014, will give Detroit a chance to add some size and talent to a roster that was lacking in the physicality department in their first round matchup against Boston.

Today, we are going to take a look at the pending unrestricted free agents. The Red Wings have seven players on the current roster (or injured reserve) slated for free agency this summer: David Legwand, C; Daniel Alfredsson, RW; Mikael Samuelsson, RW; Todd Bertuzzi, RW; Daniel Cleary, RW; Kyle Quincey, D; and Jonas Gustavsson, G.

For each player, we are assigning their Hockeytown Lineup Probability (HLP) for next season. What does that mean? It’s the probability that they will be on the opening night roster next season. I will not say which members of the current team have a 100% HLP in order not to jinx them. I’m a goalie and am very superstitious.

HLP

 

Kyle Quincey has the best chance at returning next season. While his play has been consistently average, he is a better fit than a lot of free agents. The free agent defenseman pool will be thin this summer and he may be able to give the Red Wings a discount. I would prefer the Red Wings to bring in someone else, but the reality of that is less likely than Kyle Quincey returning.

Jonas Gustavsson has a decent chance of returning too. He played great this season when Jimmy Howard was injured or underperforming. If the Red Wings want to keep Petr Mrazek in the minors for one more season, I think Gustavsson would sign a one-year deal to stay another year. He could test the market though after a solid season.

In my opinion, Daniel Alfredsson has a spot for next season if he wants to play another season. He may be an old man, but still led the Red Wings in scoring this season and provided veteran leadership in the locker room while Pavel Datsyuk and Henrik Zetterberg were out. Another one-year deal is possible if Alfie wants to play another year.

For the rest of the free agents, a return would be slim. Daniel Cleary, Mikael Samuelsson, and David Legwand are as good as gone. Todd Bertuzzi could return for another year if Detroit needs a physical presence on the ice, but probably would not play much. They could sign David Legwand to a multi-year deal to compensate for sending Patrick Eaves, Calle Jarnkrok, and a second round pick to Nashville for Legwand at the trade deadline. It would be hard to see the Red Wings resign him with Zetterberg, Datsyuk, Stephen Weiss, Darren Helm, Riley Sheahan, and Joakim Andersson slated at center on the depth chart, though. However, trades and buyouts happen and the Red Wings are primed to do one or both this summer. There are reports out that while Daniel Cleary will not be in the Red Wings’ lineup next year, he may be in their front office after playing the last decade in Detroit.

What do you think?

Offense With and Without Henrik Zetterberg

Henrik Zetterberg

Photo courtesy of AP

Two goals in two games is not where the Detroit offense would like to be heading back to Detroit for Games 3 and 4. Although the Red Wings managed to win with only one goal in Game 1, they cannot win the series by winning three more games by that 1-0 score. Most every player has at least one thing to work on for Game 3, one simple solution fans are calling for is for Henrik Zetterberg to return to the lineup.

Zetterberg has been out since the Olympic Break following back surgery and has been skating with the team recently. Ken Holland previously said that Z (and Jonathan Ericsson) would be out for the first round and may be back for the second round. Fans are still hoping that they will make an appearance against Boston. I am one of those fans, but have reservation about Zetterberg returning possibly too soon.

Players play hurt in the NHL playoffs all the time. I’m positive that Zetterberg wants none other than to be out there with the guys and beat the Bruins. Team Doctors monitoring their patient and owners monitoring their investment may say otherwise. Zetterberg will return as soon as he can, but when exactly will that be? And when he does, what will happen?

Bad News (Bruins)-

  1. Too soon? Back surgery recovery is nothing to mess with. Zetterberg could not even get out of his bed after Sweden’s first game in Sochi. He was in a lot of pain before and needs to fully recover so nothing lingers.
  2. Bruins’ Defense. Boston features big, strong defense. Torey Krug may not fit that mold, but the rest do. Henrik likes to be a little physical while playing to get to the net. He will take a beating from Boston’s D that might aggrevate his back. Would it be worth it for Z to return for a few games, but hurt his back again?
  3. Someone comes out of the lineup. Who gets scratched if Zetterberg returns? Legwand? Miller? Jurco? If it was my guess, I would think David Legwand would be scratched first. Tomas Jurco had a great Game 2 and is playing a physical game against the big Bruins. He hasn’t done much offensively or on the power play, but neither have Tomas Tatar, Gustav Nyquist, Riley Sheahan, or Daniel Alfredsson. Drew Miller may not be the most skilled player, but he has played well on the penalty kill. No matter who comes out, each has a reason to stay in and Mike Babcock will have a tough decision. The decision to play a healed Henrik Zetterberg is an easy one though.

Good News-

  1. More offense. Zetterberg’s return to the lineup obviously brings more offense. He won the Conn Smythe trophy in 2008 and almost led the team in scoring this season, despite missing nearly half of the games. His point-per-game scoring rate will help our sputtering offense immediately.
  2. Leadership. When a team sees their captain come back from injury and give his all, they will be inspired. The 2002 Red Wings did it for Steve Yzerman. It holds true for any level of hockey. When a captain returns to the lineup and shows more grit than anyone on the ice, the team will follow suit and play their hearts out for him. Z has that sort of respect in the locker room.
  3. Wake up others. Zetterberg’s return will create a competition to not be the one who is scratched. There are plenty of options at this point, so the boys will be on their game for Game 3. In addition, Zetterberg’s offensive skills will create room for others on the ice. It’s apparent when Pavel Datsyuk is on the ice that the Bruins leave others alone to neutralize him. In Game 2 when Datsyuk threw the nasty backhand sauce to a trailing Brendan Smith, the replay showed four Bruins within three feet of Datsyuk with two guys trailing wide open. Datsyuk can create offense and so can Zetterberg.

 

In the meantime, Detroit needs to learn to score and create offense against Boston without him. They have been doing it for most of the year anyway. If the Red Wings can dictate the pace, they can win and let Zetterberg rest up. Game 3 needs to be played like Game 1 for Detroit to go anywhere. Let’s see it, Red Wings.

Red Wings’ MASH Unit

Pavel Datsyuk

Photo courtesy of Carlos Osorio/AP.

It is expected that Pavel Datsyuk and Daniel Alfredsson will return to the Red Wings’ lineup today after missing time. Alfredsson only missed one game and Datsyuk has been out since the Winter Classic for the most part. It’s great that the team is getting healthy in time for the playoffs, but one thing I wonder is what if the team was completely healthy this season?

Generally speaking, teams like Anaheim, Boston, and Colorado have all had decent luck when it came to injuries this season, though no team can make it through the season completely unaffected by injuries. What if Detroit had that same luck? What if Datsyuk, Johan Franzen, Henrik Zetterberg, Jonathan Ericsson, Stephen Weiss, and Darren Helm had been healthy and played around 70 games up to this point?

Could today’s lineup look like this instead?

Lineup

 

What are the consequences of having a healthy team?

  1. Tired players- Datsyuk, Zetterberg, Alfredsson, and Todd Bertuzzi are getting up there and need rest to be at the top of their games. If they had played an entire season, would they be fresh for the playoffs?
  2. Nyquist’s development- Gustav Nyquist would not have been thrust into the spotlight without the injuries to key players. He may not have even been called up as soon as he was. Would he be on the same current hot streak?
  3. The Kid Line’s chemistry and progress- The line of Tomas Tatar, Riley Sheahan, and Tomas Jurco would have never gelled and become the offensive force it is now. Maybe “offensive force” is too strong, but the line produces. Tatar would have played third line with minimal power play ice time, while Sheahan and Jurco would still be in Grand Rapids.
  4. Early ice time for young players- Would Sheahan, Jurco, Luke Glendening, Mitch Callahan, Adam Almquist, Landon Ferraro, Teemu Pulkkinen, Xavier Ouellet, or Alexey Marchenko crack the Red Wings’ lineup this year? Their playing time this season was incredibly valuable to their development.
  5. No Legwand- This is a toss up. David Legwand has certainly helped the Red Wings spark their offensive and has found some chemistry at times with Franzen and Nyquist. I highly doubt Detroit would have acquired him if Zetterberg, Datsyuk, Weiss, and Helm weren’t all injured at the Trade Deadline. Unfortunately for Detroit, Calle Jarnkrok has been playing well for Nashville and is showing signs that he will develop into the top-six talent Red Wings’ scouts pegged him as. Patrick Eaves was a great penalty-killer in Detroit, but did not have much of an impact otherwise (besides a few shootout goals).

At this point, are these injuries hurting the team or a blessing in disguise?

Looking into the Future: 2018 Lineup

After really thinking about how prospects like Riley Sheahan, Tomas Jurco, and Petr Mrazek are getting a chance to prove themselves earlier than expected, I began to wonder what the lineup would look like when those players were in their prime. Five years from now, the current batch of prospects would be in their mid- to late-20s and hopefully will be mainstays in the Red Wings’ lineup.

Below is a depth chart of how I think the Red Wings lineup will look in five years. All of the players are in the organization, as I cannot predict who will get traded or let go in another way. Note: Pavel Datsyuk will not be playing in the 2018-19 season, unless he decides to follow in the footsteps of Igor Larionov and play until he is 44.

2018 Lineup

2018-19 Projected Lineup

It was tough to predict the future.

Only Henrik Zetterberg, Johan Franzen, Niklas Kronwall, Jonathan Ericsson, and Jimmy Howard are under contract for that season currently. Everyone else will be on a new contract than the one they are currently signed under.

I surely hope Anthony Mantha is dominating the NHL by then. He has the makings of a goal-scoring power forward and would fit well with an aged playmaker in Henrik Zetterberg and Gustav Nyquist in his prime.

Defense is a huge question mark in my opinion. I can see Brendan Smith or Brian Lashoff not being on the team in 2018, though I hope they are unless they are traded for even better players. Luckily, Detroit has a great batch of prospects on defense are could afford to lose Smith and/or Lashoff. Even some of the prospects could be dealt. Guys like Xavier Ouellet, Alexey Marchenko, Ryan Sproul, Mattias Backman, and Adam Almquist should all be NHL-ready by 2018, it’s just a matter of who is with the Red Wings, in the minors, or elsewhere in the NHL.

Players I am hoping will be in the lineup: Zetterberg, Mantha, Marchenko, Mrazek, Pulkkinen.

Players who could be traded by 2018: Franzen, Howard, Smith, Jurco, any defenseman prospect.

NHL Experience for Red Wings Prospects

With all the injuries to the Red Wings this season, more than a few prospects are getting a shot at playing in the show. Injuries to captain Henrik Zetterberg, Pavel Datsyuk, Stephen Weiss, Johan Franzen, Joakim Andersson, Todd Bertuzzi, Dan Cleary, Mikael Samuelsson, the octopus, Joe Louis himself, and the popcorn vendor have opened the door for young talent to fill their shoes…or skates. Get it?

Tomas Jurco, Landon Ferraro, Riley Sheahan, and Luke Glendening have all gotten a chance to show their skills in the Red and White. Guys like Tomas Tatar and Gustav Nyquist have not only made the team this year, but have been thrust into prominent roles and performed admirably. Side note: Tatar and Nyquist should have been in the top 12 forwards all season.

As of 3/23, Sheahan has five goals, 13 assists, and 18 points with a plus-one rating. He has centered what has become Detroit’s second line and played strongly at both ends of the ice.

Luke Glendening has been one of Detroit’s top penalty killers, while providing a spark for the Red Wings’ fourth line. Due to injuries, he moved up to the third line at times. Glendening has earned Mike Babcock’s trust for penalty killing, defensive zone faceoffs, and shutting down opponents’ top players.

Jurco has contributed ten points playing on the “Kid Line” with Sheahan and Tatar before breaking ribs earlier in the month. His saucy paws are getting some valuable experience playing in Detroit before he was expected to crack the lineup.

Other prospects have gotten a chance in the Red Wings lineup, but have not played as much as the guys mentioned above. Landon Ferraro got a chance on the fourth line and even got a chance in the PK rotation, but was sent down for Mitch Callahan today (3/24). Teemu Pulkkinen appeared sparingly in three games, but got a chance to play the point on the second power play unit. Petr Mrazek has gotten in a few games with Jimmy Howard and Jonas Gustavsson each missing some time throughout the season. Adam Almquist, Xavier Ouellet, and Alexey Marchenko have all gotten a shot on defense this season.

Even though most of these guys will not be in the list of 23 players who make the team next year, this experience is great for their development. The extra confidence gained from playing high-stake NHL games will greatly improve their game and help them develop into the players Ken Holland, Jimmy Devellano, and the scouts envisions when they drafted or signed these players. It’s rare for the Red Wings to play so many young players, so they should take advantage of the playing time and soak in what is is like to don the Winged Wheel.